the case for the path

why it matters

people leave homelessness, addiction, and prison ready to rebuild. whether they make it comes down to three things — and the numbers are sobering when they’re missing.

A person rebuilding their life

ready isn’t enough.

people leave homelessness, addiction, and prison wanting to rebuild. whether they actually make it comes down to three things: a community that stays, healing that goes deep, and work that pays and lasts. take any one away, and the research is sobering — the odds collapse, and the cycle pulls them back. these are the numbers behind why we built the path of hope.

gap one · belonging

what isolation costs

29%

higher risk of early death from social isolation — on par with smoking 15 cigarettes a day.

U.S. Surgeon General’s Advisory, 2023
1 in 2

american adults already report experiencing loneliness.

U.S. Surgeon General, 2023

social support is one of the most consistent predictors of lasting recovery. belonging isn’t a nicety — it’s the foundation.

gap two · recovery

what untreated wounds cost

40–60%

relapse rate for substance use disorders — comparable to other chronic diseases.

National Institute on Drug Abuse
60–70%

relapse within the first year of recovery without sustained support.

recovery research
56%

of people with a substance use disorder also live with a mental illness.

2023 NSDUH · SAMHSA

with sustained support, relapse risk falls below 15% after five years — but only when the support is actually there.

gap three · work

what no job costs

68%

of people released from prison are rearrested within three years.

Bureau of Justice Statistics
1 in 4

only about a quarter find any work within a year of release.

Bureau of Justice Statistics · Prison Policy Initiative

unemployed returning citizens are twice as likely to reoffend.

reentry research

stable employment roughly halves recidivism — it is one of the single strongest predictors of staying out for good.

the gaps compound

doing nothing has a price

the three gaps don’t act alone. without housing, you can’t get treatment or hold a job; without a job, you can’t keep housing; without community, you relapse. each missing piece tightens the cycle — and the whole society pays for it.

771,480

people experienced homelessness on a single night in 2024 — the largest one-year jump on record.

HUD, 2024
1 in 3

of those individuals is chronically homeless — the highest number ever counted.

HUD, 2024
$35,578

what chronic homelessness costs taxpayers per person each year — about half of which is saved when people are housed and supported.

National Alliance to End Homelessness
so we built an answer

the path of hope closes all three

every gap above maps to a phase. we don’t pick one — we address belonging, healing, and work in order, as one connected path. and a growing family of real businesses pays for it.

every number is a person

help us close the gap — invest in the businesses that fund the path, or partner with us to build community, healing, and work for people ready to rebuild.